Friday, July 20, 2012

Permanent optimism

After the attack in Damascus that killed three of Syria's top leaders one can read in many newspapers titles like "Will Syria implode". Others are more cautious but it is striking that no one dares to say the obvious: The Syrian Army is far from fighting at top capacity and no one in the Syrian top has any incentive to give up. So the likely outcome of any support for the opposition is that the rebels will use more violence and that as a consequence the government will use more violence too.

Yet no one has the courage to say this aloud because that would raise the question why the West is so eager to condemn Syria to a further increase of violence while it not only ignores but actively obstructs any possibility for a negotiated solution. An touchy question that raises the question of complicity in the killings.

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