tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17149992.post349042917289287366..comments2023-11-05T12:34:12.796+01:00Comments on Conflict and Compromise: The precedent excuse against partition of KosovoWim Roffelhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05950733237377413606noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17149992.post-61871650345987783392010-11-27T19:13:38.039+01:002010-11-27T19:13:38.039+01:00@Gerard:
Thank you for agreeing with my post. I ad...@Gerard:<br />Thank you for agreeing with my post. I admire how well informed you are and how well you know to formulate your opinions. <br /><br />On Bosnia I agree with you. In my own country Holland there was for centuries a strong divide between catholics and protestants. Now it has just evaporated. And the key to that was that the protestant majority left the Catholic minority its autonomy. Similarly I believe that once you give ethnic ethnic groups in Bosnia their autonomy the importance of ethnicity will gradually become reduced. Pressure to adapt only highlights the different identity.<br /><br />On Kosovo I differ. Many newly independent countries show ethnic cleansing. Even countries with a rather peaceful separation like Slovenia (the "erased") and the former Asian Soviet republics show ethnic cleansing. In Kosovo there was a bloody war and there were already complaints about local cleansing of Serbs buy Albanians before 1989. Also Kosovo misses the kind of undisputed leadership that helped to keep the situation in South Africa and Montenegro peaceful. Finally the groups are very estranged and many don't speak the other's language. So there are five factors pointing to trouble.<br /><br />You believe that it is possible to draw up a perfect Ahtisaari Plan. I think it is impossible to write a plan that it is so comprehensive that it prevents every hostile trick a politician could think of. In addition in a hostile environment legal guarantees tend to be evaded or ignored. <br /><br />I think it is good that the West sets some standards and imposes them. And even after KFOR has left EU pressure will maintain some standards. But pressure to leave can take many subtle forms, from a burnt shed to a subtly more harsh police to bureaucratic red tape.<br /><br />There are already reports that many of the young Serbs have left and many Serb enclaves may simply die out.<br /><br />Young states tend to be very nationalist and intolerant of minorities that might secede. So I think the chance is very big that Kosovo's government will try to Albanize Kosovo's north when it gets a chance. <br /><br />@anonymous:<br />My expectation is that Serbia can play the same role for Kosovo as Greece plays for Albania. Once the status issue has been settled in a friendly manner it will become the main contributor to its development. In the end that is much more important for Kosovo than the outcome of the property disputes.<br /><br />Sure there were rapes: you have them always in wars (there are allegations against Albanians too) and the more so when you send in paramilitary groups that consist of hooligans. But rape camps: I haven't heard of them in Kosovo.Wim Roffelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05950733237377413606noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17149992.post-19503922046356687492010-11-26T19:19:33.349+01:002010-11-26T19:19:33.349+01:00A deal could be worked out: Serbia can pay Kosovo ...A deal could be worked out: Serbia can pay Kosovo reparations for the rape camps, carting off much of the Kosovar' property, and other crimes, while Kosovo lets that small part transfer from the nation of Kosovo to the nation of Serbia. A deal that moves things forward.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17149992.post-63810640080061258502010-11-20T13:06:55.405+01:002010-11-20T13:06:55.405+01:00Wim, I agree 100% with you (and was DeaconBlue). ...Wim, I agree 100% with you (and was DeaconBlue). Dan is one of the "Balkanistas" who will ride the "no-partition" horse right over the cliff. I still think a status neutral way can be found to keep Kosovo whole but the US would have to see the light and stop supporting the Albanians in trying to take everything. And the US and EU should stopping trying to push Bosnia into greater unity. Majority-rule democracy doesn't work where people organize themselves into competing national groups. It magnifies conflict. Nevertheless, the US pushed it as the cure-all for everywhere.Gerard Galluccihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15909722623126534873noreply@blogger.com